The big picture in politics for 2022 seems straightforward: It will be a tough year for Democrats. But here’s why things might not be that simple.
is doing, the kind of low rating that could prove a drag for Democrats. In addition, 44% of voters said they expected to vote for a Republican in the midterm election, compared with 41% who said they would choose a Democrat.
Traditionally, the party in control of the White House loses congressional seats in the first midterm after the president is elected—and those losses can run into the dozens when the president’s job approval is as low as Mr. Biden’s is right now. Given that a flip of just five seats from Democratic to Republican would cost Democrats control of the House, they have almost no margin for error.
White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki during a briefing. If President Biden’s low approval ratings persist, they are likely to be a drag on the party.For Mr. Biden and his party, the key question is whether his rapid slide in popularity in the second half of 2021 was the temporary result of the messy process of getting things done in a closely divided Washington, or a descent to levels of popularity that will remain a drag on his party.
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