We break down a massive, provocative essay putting a long lens on AI's future.
, based in San Francisco, relies on lots of speculation and projection. So none of this is set in stone. But his opus is a useful, eye-opening synthesis of high-level Silicon Valley conversations."The magic of deep learning is that it just works — and the trendlines have been astonishingly consistent, despite naysayers at every turn."year after year, skeptics have claimed 'deep learning won't be able to do X' and have been quickly proven wrong.
"If there's one lesson we've learned from the past decade of AI, it's that you should never bet against deep learning."rather than a chatbot, you're going to have something that looks more like an agent, like a coworker.""There is a potentially important source of variance for all of this: we're running out of internet data.
"Stock markets would follow; we might see our first $10T company soon thereafter. Big tech at this point would be willing to go all out, each investing many hundreds of billions into further AI scaleout. We probably see our first many-hundred-billion-dollar corporate bond sale."to erect sufficient barriers around research on artificial general intelligence "will be irreversible soon: in the next 12-24 months, we will leak key AGI breakthroughs to the .
His perspective on AGI is a minority in the industry, Axios managing editor Scott Rosenberg tells me. Aschenbrenner, and many at OpenAI and elsewhere, believe AGI will inevitably develop out of today's genAI language models and bots. The wider consensus among experts is that it won't. That's not pessimism: The consensus sees so much value and utility in AI where it is now, and where it's headed long before it gets to AGI, that AGI isn't really the point.Share on linkedin
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
Similar News:Vous pouvez également lire des articles d'actualité similaires à celui-ci que nous avons collectés auprès d'autres sources d'information.
Gun violence awareness advocates gather on the downtown canal for National Gun Violence Awareness Day13News reporter Emily Longnecker reports from the downtown Indianapolis canal during a ceremony to honor those lost to gun violence.
Lire la suite »
Former OpenAI researcher foresees AGI reality in 2027OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, who was fired over an alleged leak from the firm, is bullish on the intellectual capabilities of AI in the next decade.
Lire la suite »
United States Postal Service kicks off National Dog Bite Awareness WeekAccording to the USPS, Pennsylvania ranks 4th in the country for the amount of dog bites with 334 in 2023. And 34 of those happened in Philadelphia.
Lire la suite »
In Light of Mental Health Awareness Month, We Should Think About How We Approach BoundariesAs employers, we need to think critically about boundaries between the personal and professional, not just for ourselves but for our employees, too.
Lire la suite »
Williamson County reveals new floodplain data to improve safety and awarenessWilliamson County is hosting a series of open houses this summer to unveil new data from a floodplain study started in 2021.
Lire la suite »
Woke Defense Department Mistakenly Posts LGBT Pride Graphic for PTSD Awareness MonthSource of breaking news and analysis, insightful commentary and original reporting, curated and written specifically for the new generation of independent and conservative thinkers.
Lire la suite »