The expulson of Chinese diplomat Zhao Wei raises fears China may impose agricultural import restrictions on Canadian farmers
Canadian businesses and farmers are once again steeling themselves for retaliation from China as Beijing seeks to punish Canada for expelling a Chinese diplomat, raising the spectre of a trade war at a time when the Canadian and global economies are already vulnerable.for interfering in Canadian politics by targeting Conservative MP Michael Chong’s family.
Not long after, Canadian pork producers were also hit by halts to their Chinese shipments. Other Canadian agricultural exports to China also suffered delays and interruptions, often with little clear explanation.China is the largest importer of Canadian raw canola seed, accounting for 38 per cent of seed exports last year after China lifted its three-year ban. In 2020, China’s share fell to 22 per cent from nearly half of all Canadian canola seed exports in 2018.
While China has a history of targeting Canadian farm products, some experts believe Beijing may be more hesitant to do that again right now because of the heightened risk of sparking domestic unrest over food prices. China has battled with outbreaks of African swine fever that have decimated its pork supply, whilealso disrupted the global supply of wheat, which means Beijing will likely leave those products untouched.
While Prof. Carvin said she believes China will target some agricultural products again, she said “visible” Canadian companies and their employees in China could also face legal risks under China’s recently broadened national security and counter-espionage laws. “Trade-related retaliation is always a possibility when political tensions flare like this,” said Stuart Bergman, chief economist at Export Development Canada.
Goldy Hyder, president of the Business Council of Canada, called for Ottawa to maintain dialogue with Beijing, pointing to the quick resumption of contact between the U.S. and China after the furious response to the“We need to call out bad behaviour. But the need to keep talking to each other is pretty important,” he said. “We’ve got to find a way to ensure that this doesn’t ripple negatively on the Canadian economy.
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