The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 4.5 per cent on March 8, a year after starting its most aggressive hiking cycle ever via financialpost
consumer price indexThat’s still a long way from the Bank of Canada’s target of two per cent. However, Macklem is sensitive to the possibility that he might have raisedfaster than the country’s debt-addled households can handle. Statistics Canada said its gauge of mortgage interest costs surged 21.2 per cent in January from a year earlier, the biggest increase since September 1982.
The contrast with what’s happening elsewhere will feed questions about whether the Bank of Canada is finished or simply taking a break. Bloomberg News reported this week that the prices of financial assets tied to short-term interest rates imply that investors anticipate another increase before the end of the year. Fed chair Jerome Powell rattled financial markets on March 7 by telling lawmakers bluntly that he would be lifting borrowing costs again.
“With weak economic growth for the next couple of quarters, pressures in product and labour markets are expected to ease,” the Bank of Canada said. “This should moderate wage growth and also increase competitive pressures, making it more difficult for businesses to pass on higher costs to consumers.”Macklem has said several times this year that he’s more worried about being wrong about inflation than he is about inadvertently causing a shallow recession.
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