The bomb cyclone is going to be a big one, but how much snow it dumps in New York remains to be seen.
mportantly for the forecast, meteorologists are relying on models right now with few observations of the actual storms in questionwill give meteorologists more concretehelp refine the forecast itself, which is a mix of model information and human understanding of models and local conditionsthe nor’easter will intensify rapidly enough to be considered a bomb cyclone—that is, it will see its pressure drop at least 24 millibars in 24 hours—buta long journey across the country, and...
s a lot that could happen between now and then to the systems as well as areas of high and low pressure that will dictate how they combine and move up the East Coast.A key metric to watch in the coming days is whether models show the storm pass over what’s known as the 40/70 benchmark. The 40/70 refers to latitude and longitude coordinates that tend to be a sweet spot for nor’easters to whip up waves and wind and drop copious precipitation.
Depending on if it passes there or closer or further to shore will have a huge impact on snowfall totals. New York is the epicenter of uncertainty on this front. Models simply don’t have enough data now to give a concise range, which is why there are so many different forecast totals out there. That’s why it’s more important than ever to pay attention to the forecast as it develops over the next 24 to 48 hours. And given how intense the system will be, also paying attention to more than the snow totals.
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