Why Theresa May's Brexit deal is heading for a third defeat next week

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Why Theresa May's Brexit deal is heading for a third defeat next week
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Here's what is likely to happen when Theresa May puts her Brexit deal to a vote for a third time.

Members of the UK parliament before a vote on the prime minister's proposed Brexit deal, 12 March, 2019.Theresa May is preparing to put her Brexit deal to a vote for the third time this week.

That means a third vote on the prime minister's deal is going to be held next week, probably on Tuesday, handing pro-Leave MPs who have voted against the deal twice one last chance to avoid a lengthy Brexit delay. Cox is now ready to change his legal advice by suggesting the UK could exit the backstop under the Vienna Convention which governs international treaties, by suggesting a"change of circumstances" would allow the UK to exit the backstop if the EU made it permanent.

But there are around 20 die-hard pro-Brexit Tories who are likely to oppose the deal in whatever form it exists, as well as eight Remain-supporting MPs who want to stop Brexit altogether and are are unlikely to support it either.

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