For Republicans hoping Biden’s numbers will drag the Democratic ticket into oblivion, history says to hold on for a second. | Analysis
We are now under a month until Election Day, and you can feel the midterm campaign really taking hold. From Herschel Walker generating headlines for his troubles in Georgia to the Senate GOP campaign arm cutting bait in New Hampshire, we’re getting down to crunch time. All of this is happening with President Joe Biden’s approval rating stuck in the low-to-mid 40s.
A small polling error in the House could have big consequences A lot has been written about how polls have underestimated Republican strength in recent years. For Senate races, that might not have as big a consequence as you might think. In fact, Democrats would still win the Senate today if every state had the same polling miss it did in 2020. Less spoken about is the House.
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