No longer a team defined by the play of quarterback Tom Brady, New England is fielding one of the most dominant defenses in NFL history.
is a metric based on the NFL’s Next Gen data that tracks the movement and orientation of all 22 players and the ball 10 times a second. For PRWR, ESPN counts any pressure that occurs 2.5 seconds or less from the snap of the ball as a win, and plays in which the offensive line prevents pressure for more than 2.5 seconds from the snap are counted as a loss.
Pass attempts of 20-plus yards from an unpressured pocket have an EPA of 0.65 per play, while passes of 1-to-10 yards from an unpressured pocket generate 0.16 EPA per play. Passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage generate -0.30 EPA per play. While it’s tempting to point to the Patriots’ blowout wins as the reason for the high volume of deep pass attempts, they are still 4th in deep pass attempts against if you look at just the first three quarters. The differences in deep pass percentage when far behind vs. not are also small. Overall this season, teams with a 20 percent win probability or less attempted deep passes on 12.5 percent of their pass attempts versus 11.4 percent for teams with a 21 percent win probability or greater.
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