What does Iran get out of helping Russia in Ukraine? Experts' answers: 👉Russia is skilled at sanctions evasion and could pass along knowhow to Iran 👉 Iran may be rewarding Russia for keeping Assad in power 👉 Iran gets money for its sputtering economy
’s “Midnights” release, your friendly neighborhood NatSec Daily team wanted to tackle a question that keeps us up at night: What’s in it for Iran to help Russia in Ukraine?offered the administration’s view. “It’s another sign of how isolated both Russia and Iran are and they have to rely on each other. They continue to lie to the world but the facts are clear,” he told NatSec Daily.
Experts we spoke to offered some straightforward answers. Russia, which is adept at sanctions evasion, could pass along its knowhow to Iran. Iran might be rewarding Russia for keeping Syrian Presidentin power. And then there’s Occam’s Razor: Iran gets money for its sputtering economy in exchange for drones, missiles and training.wrote a smart Twitter thread Friday on the not-so-obvious reasons. One is that Iran might want to say it helped defeat a U.S.
Another is to send a deterrent message to Washington and Jerusalem. If the United States doesn’t reenter the 2015 nuclear deal it abandoned and/or Iran doesn’t come back into compliance with the terms of the agreement, then expect talk of war to grow. In such a scenario, Iran would want to have demonstrated that a fight wouldn’t be easy for the U.S. or Israel to win.
Other experts agreed with this view. “Demonstrating the lethal capabilities of its drones and missiles could be a key driver in Iran’s current calculations, as a way to bolster deterrence and prepare for military escalation,” saidof the UCLA Burkle Center for International Relations. “Iran no doubt wants to show it’s ready for that fight despite its weakening legitimacy at home.”
The third out-of-the-box reason is that the effectiveness of Iranian drones in a major war is the best advertisement possible for those weapons. Turkey’s Bayraktar TB2 drone proved decisive in
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