What happens if Pete Buttigieg wins Iowa? FiveThirtyEight breaks it down:
, white voters said that they were “definitely” or “probably” ready for a gay or lesbian president 51 percent to 37 percent, while black voters said they weren’t ready 42 percent to 38 percent.
Since these factors are already baked in, I’m not sure how much Buttigieg’s success in Iowa and potentially New Hampshire will do to make him a viable national candidate . But I do think that the damage done to the other front-runners by a Buttigieg one-two punch in Iowa and New Hampshire could create big problems for their campaigns.
Of course, we’ll have to wait and see. Buttigieg will have to hang onto the lead in Iowa for almost three months for these scenarios to come true — otherwise, the shifting race could create even newer hypotheticals for us to consider.Nathaniel Rakich is FiveThirtyEight’s elections analyst.
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
Similar News:Vous pouvez également lire des articles d'actualité similaires à celui-ci que nous avons collectés auprès d'autres sources d'information.
Pete Buttigieg leading Democratic candidates by 9 points in Iowa, new poll showsThe South Bend, Indiana mayor was the favorite candidate for 25 percent of respondents, while Senator Elizabeth Warren came in second with 16 percent.
Lire la suite »
Iowa Supreme Court Chief Justice Mark Cady dies unexpectedlyMark Cady, the soft-spoken chief justice of the Iowa Supreme Court who wrote key decisions on gay marriage and abortion access that rankled social conservatives, has died at the age of 66. Cady died unexpectedly Friday night from a heart attack, his family said in a statement posted on the court’s website
Lire la suite »
New Poll Shows Pete Buttigieg Surging to First Place in IowaJoe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders are in a virtual tie for second place, according to the CNN/Des Moines Register poll.
Lire la suite »
Members of both parties see impeachment as a political winner in 2020, new Iowa poll findsAs impeachment hearings play out on Capitol Hill, Iowans on both sides of the political spectrum see the inquiry as a boost to their party's chances of winning the general election next November, according to a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll.
Lire la suite »