How Putin's fate is tied to Russia's war
Russia Editor, MoscowAt the time Russians were being urged to support changes to the constitution that would enable Vladimir Putin to stay in power for another 16 years.
So much for an oasis of stability and safe harbour. On 24 February 2022, the Kremlin captain set sail in a storm of his own making. And headed straight for the iceberg. "On the horizon were the Russian presidential elections of 2024," points out political scientist Ekaterina Shulman. Which brings me on to two key questions: how does Vladimir Putin view the situation one year on and what will be his next move in Ukraine?His state-of-the-nation address was packed with anti-Western bile. He continues to blame America and Nato for the war in Ukraine, and to portray Russia as an innocent party.
"Putin violated all the documents. The agreement on the creation of the Commonwealth of Independent States, the bilateral treaty between Russia and Ukraine, the treaty on the internationally recognised border of Russia and Ukraine, the UN charter, the Helsinki Act of 1975, the Budapest Memorandum. And so on. There is no document he would not violate."
Putin circa 2023 is a very different character. Seething with resentment at the "collective West", he styles himself as leader of a besieged fortress, repelling the alleged attempts of Russia's enemies to destroy his country. From his speeches and comments - and his references to imperial Russian rulers like Peter the Great and Catherine the Great - Mr Putin appears to believe he is destined to recreate the Russian empire in some shape or form.
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
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