By the end of the coronavirus’s “first wave” this summer, America will likely have buried close to 100,000 victims of the disease, researchers predict.
By the end of the coronavirus’s “first wave” this summer, America will likely have buried close to 100,000 victims of the disease, with as many as 9 million people having become infected, according to Alessandro Vespignani, the director of the Network Science Institute at Northeastern University. The elite research lab, which has gained international notice for its pandemic modeling, also concluded that at least 80,000 to 90,000 Americans will be dead of coronavirus complications by mid-May.
He said the aggressive social distancing measures most Americans have undertaken doubtless saved several hundred thousand lives. New cases of COVID-19, the disease that results from exposure to the coronavirus, have plateaued as a result, Vespignani said. But he warned that reopening public spaces too soon or without adequate testing and contact tracing infrastructure in place could lead to a dramatic resurgence in infections and deaths.
“What we’re living now — this is one battle — it’s not the war,” he said. “The more we are prepared, the better we will fight and the less problems we will have and the less we will have to suffer.” Once his team has used the real-world data to form its “synthetic world,” it maps infection rates on top and watches the infection spread within the simulation, which is able to track the movements of billions of simulated individuals as they would move in their ordinary lives. While the disease spreads in the synthetic world, a projected path for the epidemic takes shape in the computer model.
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
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