To Russia, Taking Action on Ukraine Now Might Be ‘Less Costly' Than Waiting, Says Analyst

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To Russia, Taking Action on Ukraine Now Might Be ‘Less Costly' Than Waiting, Says Analyst
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Russia doesn’t want NATO and Kyiv to believe that arms exports to Ukraine successfully deterred Moscow, said Rob Lee of the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

Russia doesn't want NATO and Kyiv to believe that arms exports to Ukraine successfully deterred Moscow, said Rob Lee of the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

"That's why I think that the costs of inaction, from Russia's perspective, are probably greater than the cost of escalating right now," he said.From Russia's point of view, it may be better to ramp up aggression on Ukraine instead of doing nothing, according to a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute .

That's because if Russia backs down now, NATO will think that arms exports to Ukraine were a"key decisive step" and that more deterrence is needed, said Rob Lee of the FPRI's Eurasia program.on Monday. "That's why I think that the costs of inaction, from Russia's perspective, are probably greater than the cost of escalating right now," he said.

Additionally, Kyiv currently has"limited capability" when it comes to long-range missiles, but is working to improve on that.

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