For Star subscribers: Arizona water officials are unlikely to forecast a shortfall of groundwater in the Tucson area. Too bad: The Phoenix experience shows such findings amount to leverage for conservation.
In 2019, state water officials found that, looking out over 100 years, there will be a shortfall of available groundwater for new developments dependent on it.
Now, the Tucson area has been a leader in conservation. That's one of the reasons a variety of experts told me that the active management area here is unlikely to be found in shortfall. Water outlook likely sufficientBeyond conservation, another reason we'll likely be found to have sufficient water is that for more than two decades we've been banking Colorado River water funneled here by the Central Arizona Project.
"We shouldn’t be in the same position because we have taken better care of our water resources," he said."We are optimistic that as a region we're in a much better position that we’ll be able to grow and conserve water at the same time." In fact, the director of the Arizona Department of Water Resources, Tom Buschatzke, was already showing that his department's findings might not be so firm as previously thought.
In other words, Tucson's active management area could be found to have a sufficient supply for groundwater-dependent housing developments. But then the CAP supply that helps justify that finding could be slashed by as much as half as the warming climate dries up the river.
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