There Won't Be a 'Next' Donald Trump. Here's Why.

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There Won't Be a 'Next' Donald Trump. Here's Why.
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No, there won't be a 'next' Donald Trump. Here's why:

always returned a single question, one that his aides never stopped hearing: “What’s next?” What’s next? What’s the next campaign stop? What’s the next race? What’s the next item on the list? What’s next? What’s next? What’s next?

What did he tap into? The Orangeman found a political system that was broken. One side, the elite, was staffed by goofy, rigid, slow-blinking suits who recycled lobbyist talking points. On the other side was the public, who desperately wanted change. Of that public, a subsection of them were white supremacist Boomers and disaffected suburbanites with Jet Skis and weird opinions about Muslims. Trump leaned into these voters.

Second, the man. Trump himself is not a gifted or observant man. The only thing he had to do was notice the opportunity, and perform bigoted make-believe in public. Trumps are not particularly special. I doubt there’s anything about him, uniquely, that makes him electorally or politically singular. Jared Chambers defines an Outside Context Problem as “anything that has heretofore not been expected, due to either lack of imagination, or ability.” They have some similarity to Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Black Swan events—rare and unpredictable outliers.

The system is cruel, and it is unfair, and it is unpopular. Political movement belongs to the outsiders now.

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