The Very Serious Lessons We Should Learn From the Balloon Fiasco

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The Very Serious Lessons We Should Learn From the Balloon Fiasco
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It seems the Chinese spy balloon’s trek across America was a big misunderstanding.

Nor should it have triggered the diplomatic crisis that ensued, compelling Secretary of State Antony Blinken to postpone a long-scheduled meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping—the first time in six years that any secretary of state would have made such a trip, which many had hoped would soften the sharpening tensions between the two countries.Both Washington and Beijing are to blame for the diplomatic crisis.

First, worst-case explanations of a surprising event aren’t always accurate, even if they seem obvious. In the lead-up to the 2003 Iraq war, the U.S. intercepted a phone call between two Iraqi officers discussing whether a chemical-weapons site had been cleaned up in advance of a visit by U.N. inspectors. This seemed a clear sign that the Iraqis, in violation of a U.N. resolution, were moving chemical weapons in order to deceive the inspectors.

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