Good news about the coronavirus is in short supply. The United States’ confirmed case count is approaching half a million — more than triple any other country’s.
The U.S. will soon lead the world in COVID-19 deaths as well. Roughly 95 percent of Americans are living under lockdown orders. No one seems to have any real sense of how or when this will end.
The number you really want to focus on is hospitalizations. And if it’s good news you’re after, pay particular attention to what’s happening in two key states: New York and California. Story continuesWhich brings us to New York and California. Chart each states’ hospitalization data over the seven days or so, and two different narratives emerge.Each day this week, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has delivered a cautiously optimistic message at his morning briefing.
The hospitalization numbers tell the tale. On Thursday, New York’s daily death count hit an all-time high: 799. But that reflects infections from weeks ago, before the state’s lockdown started. The number of people testing positive stayed relatively flat.It wasn’t a blip. The amount of new daily hospitalizations has been declining since last Thursday: from 1,427 on April 2 to 1,095 on April 3 to 656 on April 6 to 200 on April 8.
Assuming that happens, New York’s hospitalization numbers will have been an early sign that the hardest-hit state in America is turning the corner and getting its coronavirus outbreak under control. Except so far, California has been all plateau. Meanwhile, on Wednesday, the number of COVID-19 patients requiring intensive care dropped — by 1.9 percent, to 1,132 — for the first time since California began tracking them.
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