Republicans underestimate the magnitude of opposition to Trump in places that don’t elect Republicans.
Pauline Kael knew she wasn’t a representative American.
In fact, she wasn’t surprised: Kael told the Modern Library Association in a Dec. 28 speech that year, “I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they [i.e., Nixon voters] are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken.”Donald Trump shocked Democrats — and elite Republicans — in 2016 because they didn’t know any Trump voters; or, if they did, they never suspected there could be so many of them.
The difference between expectation and reality was down to Trump: The man is great for democracy, in the simple sense of getting people out to vote. He drives turnout for Republicans and Democrats alike.That explains the mixed verdict of the 2020 election and the weak GOP showing in last year’s midterms.
Unfortunately, Trump maximized urban Democratic turnout as well, which was fatal to him in purplish-red states like Arizona and Georgia.The same is true for Pennsylvania when Philadelphia votes in force.
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