An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
over the Caribbean. Westerly wind shear remains quite strong over the next several days but a turn in the forward movement to the north then N/NE may help mitigate some of the shear. Furthermore...the shear should weaken by late week though there will also be land interaction about midweek. Franklin has slowed which will allow a turn rather sharply to the north through Tue. moving over or at least very near Hispaniola late by Wed.
A Tropical Storm WARNING: Dominican Republic entire south coast from Haiti border eastward to Isla Saona... Haiti entire south coast from Anse d’Hainault eastward to the Dominican Republic border. A Tropical Storm WATCH: Dominican Republic entire north and east coast from the Haiti border eastward and southward to Isla Saonais moving away from Fl., & has organized some over the Gulf of Mexico.
about midnight early Monday by the NHC due to satellite derived estimated winds near a very brief burst of convection. Conditions - dry air & wind shear - are not favorable so further strengthening is unlikely. In fact, Gert is still expected to dissipate well east to the Windward Islands within the next day or two.has just come off the coast of Africa. This wave may very well develop but appears destined to stay far out to the east over the Atlantic.
What’s left of Hilary is moving rapidly having passed just east of San Diego Sun. afternoon & crossing into Nevada early Monday & into Oregon/Idaho by Mon. night. While at least somewhat similar storms have happened before, it is rare. Tropical storm “Kathleen” in 1976 brought very heavy rain to parts of California & a tropical storm in 1939 also brought very heavy rain & flooding to parts of California.
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