Stock investors are too optimistic about the Fed cutting rates soon

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Stock investors are too optimistic about the Fed cutting rates soon
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Here's why investors are far too optimistic that the Fed is going to cut interest rates soon

in last week's jobs report was well above expectations of 180,000 and"too hot to justify a further dovish shift in Fed policy," Haefele said.Consumer Price Index in March

cooled to 5% but was still above the Fed's 2% target. On Wednesday, the April CPI report is expected to hold steady at 5%. Despite all this,"valuations in the equity market are pricing in too rosy an outcome for the economy," the investment strategist said. has been trading at 18.8 times forward earnings over the coming 12 months, a 16% premium to the 10-year average. 10-year Treasury yield"At present, we expect S&P 500 earnings to contract 5% in 2023," he said, and the 10-year Treasury yield was up at 3.5% on Monday.

"As a result, we believe US equities are pricing a high probability of a near-perfect outcome for the US economy. Yet tighter financial conditions, declining corporate earnings, and relatively high valuations all present risks."

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