Stock and bond investing advice for the coming recession: UBS

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Stock and bond investing advice for the coming recession: UBS
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A UBS asset allocation chief told us what investors should own to profit from a market that's facing the triple threats of little upside, a recession, and a banking crisis

He says there's not much upside in equities today ahead of a potential US recession.Almost a year ago investors became convinced that, as the Federal Reserve began dramatically raising interest rates to contain inflation, a recession would swiftly follow.

The benchmark S&P 500 is up about 8% in 2023 and 3% over the last 12 months. Draho said that performance reflects the fact that investors think things are going to turn out fairly well. "If growth continues to moderate and inflation continues to moderate it's kind of a slow burn lower," he said. Draho also said that if just one or two issues like earnings, interest rates, or the economy's trajectory turn out worse than expected, that would alarm optimistic investors — and send stocks tumbling.

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