2022 is shaping up to be a solar boom. That is, if supply chain constraints don’t undercut the industry.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects U.S. solar companies will install 21.5 gigawatts of utility-scale capacity this year, shattering the annual record of 15.5 GW set last year.
Such projections come amid shipping delays and rising equipment costs. Wood Mackenzie initially projected 22.5 GW of new solar capacity in 2022. But the consulting firm downgraded its estimate to 15 GW after conducting a survey last year with top developers, which found that almost a third of projects would be delayed.
“It was taken for granted that market conditions were going to prevail, and that is not the case anymore,” she said. Indeed, there was broad consensus that solar’s difficulties are temporary. Developers will benefit from improved purchasing strategies and a ramp-up of manufacturing output to meet increased demand for solar installations, Martinez said.
By comparison, EIA said it expects the United States will add 7.6 GW of wind this year after registering a record 17.1 GW of new capacity in 2021. Natural gas additions were 6.3 GW in 2021 and are projected to reach 9.6 GW in 2022. Texas power plants have long led the country in greenhouse gas emissions, thanks to the state’s large coal fleet. In 2020, Texas power plants emitted more than 200 million tons of carbon dioxide, or about 12 percent of total U.S. power-sector emissions, according to EPA data.
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