Should the Dolphins re-sign TE Mike Gesicki? It's a way more complicated decision than you might think & GrindingTheTape breaks it down from all angles. FrontOffice33 | FinsUp
The Miami Dolphins can boast quite the string of offensive struggles over their recent history. They extend well beyond the last three years of a Brian Flores-coached football team that seemed to struggle to ever find their groove with the ball, too—Miami has not posted a top-10 scoring offense since 2001 and has not logged a top-10 offense in yards since 1995, Don Shula’s final season as the team’s coach.
What is clear is that Gesicki can be a productive mismatch threat at the NFL level. Yet, the contract extension talk has been mysteriously quiet in the build-up to Gesicki’s expiring contract. And with free agency just about a month away, the clock is ticking for the Dolphins to hammer out a deal before open season begins. That is, of course, assuming they want to.
The Dolphins led the NFL in 12-personnel groupings in 2021 with a rate of 61% of offensive plays 669 snaps). No other team in the league was remotely close. The Dolphins ran 12-personnel at a rate that was more than double that of the next closest team and nearly three times the rate of the NFL average for 2021 . But Miami’s 12-personnel was often just 11-personnel, given that Gesicki only played 13% of his snaps with his hand in the dirt.
You can quickly see how the simple question of “should Miami pay Gesicki a second contract?” suddenly has a lot of contextual data weighing on the decision. Gesicki’s camp will leverage his 87% usage detached from the set as an argument to log upper-echelon tight end money from the team. Fellow 2018 second-round tight end Dallas Goedert just got four years and $57M from the Philadelphia Eagles. That value is third among current tight end contracts and averages $14.25M APY. His career numbers through four seasons are nearly identical to Gesicki’s.
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