Researchers are pooling data to make nature more predictable.
Michael Dietze, a professor leading the Ecological Forecasting Laboratory at Boston University, is focused on taking a new approach to environmental management, as he and other researchers work to develop 'ecologist forecasts,' looking at a multitude of scenarios and problems.
Traditionally, environmental management references stable norms, such as well-established wildlife habitats or a 50-year flood, said Dietze. If you take the concept of a weather forecast, she said, you are starting with many different models — such as temperature, precipitation, wind changes and more. However, it's how those things interact that allows us to project what conditions will look like hours or days away.
"It's pretty much an OK news story. What we're seeing is that there will be large shifts in the northern boreal forest and that's going to affect where caribou are expected to be found," said Stewart. For Stephanie Behrens, a wildlife biologist with the Tlicho Government and Tlicho citizen, the boreal caribou forecasts are "a very useful tool" in protecting boreal caribou in the Northwest Territories.
Behrens and her team have also worked on their own predictions with climate change in mind. Western science is an important component of their range planning, but doesn't displace the need to gather and include the knowledge that exists in the community.
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
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