Stocks Analysis by Brian Gilmartin covering: S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500, S&P 500 Futures. Read Brian Gilmartin's latest article on Investing.com
2023 EPS estimates along with Q3 ’23 expectations will be discussed below, and 2025 EPS is still 15 – 18 months away from seeing the results that will impact the estimates, so the focus here is on 2024, which is the middle section of the above spreadsheet.
2025 is improving too, but again it’s a little early to “set it and forget it” in terms of equity index allocations or investment allocations for that timeframe.from late June ’23 that talks about the same dynamics at work, even though the S&P 500 and Barclay’s Agg are now lower 10 weeks later. Blog readers can read the three paragraphs cut-and-pasted from Bespoke’s update on October 9, 2023, but it does expect a positive forward return for the S&P 500 for Q4 ’23.
Historically, Treasuries have a long-run “real return” of 2%. Inflation data this week – the CPI and PPI – likely implies that theTreasury yield still has room to rise. However looking at PCE data and more importantly, the 10-year inflation breakevens mean at 4.60% – 4.80%, the 10-year Treasury yield is now more fully and fairly valued.
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