Russia barred Canadian, American, British and European Union operators from its airspace more than a year ago in response to prohibitions against it by those states and others that support Ukraine. With Canadian planes forced to detour, this means longer trips and ultimately higher fares for passengers amid soaring inflation.
Ross Aimer still recalls the snow-white Russian tundra unfurling on the horizon during flights he piloted between the U.S. and Asia.
"It's definitely a negative for U.S. airlines and for Canadian airlines. It is definitely an issue," said Helane Becker, an aviation analyst with TD Cowen. The extra fuel burned as a result is no rounding error. Though down from its peak last June, jet fuel's price of US$2.68 per gallon in March still marks a 41 per cent jump from four years earlier.One-way Air Canada fares from Vancouver to Hong Kong rose 41 per cent between January 2019 and January 2023, according to flight data firm Cirium. The airline's flights from Toronto to Delhi cost 47 per cent more over the same time period.
"Western airlines that do not go over Russian territory ... are at a financial disadvantage," he said. "Most of the northern part of the world is Russian airspace."
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