Rafael Nadal Inching Toward Record Slam at Australian Open, But a New Rival Looms

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Rafael Nadal Inching Toward Record Slam at Australian Open, But a New Rival Looms
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Is it Nadal's time to shine? jon_wertheim answers in his mailbag:

• Good point. Full disclosure: I picked Zverev. I was not rewarded for that show of confidence. Should have stuck with Wilander Rule: You can’t be a favorite to win a Major until you’ve won a Major.

When Zverev lost in straight sets to Denis Shapovalov, one reaction I had: all praise for the Big Three Their relentless excellence, playing deep into Majors, is laid bare by results like this. Dominic Thiem wins the U.S. Open and falters at the next Major. Zverev wins the ATP Finals and can’t get beyond the middle weekend of the next Major. Statistically, this is normal. Some days you just don’t have it. But note how seldom Djokovic, Nadal, and Federer had these rough days.

I’m typing this in advance of the semis. But what an auspicious start to the year for Felix. He’s still susceptible to some rough error-strewn patches. But he’s also shown real poise playing himself out of these lapses. He lost the first set against Cilic—against whom he was 0–3—and then cruised. He is the underdog against Medvedev. It’s unlikely his first title will come at a Major. But he’s shown his top ten bona fides in 2022.Really. At her behest, Sam Stosur’s retirement was underplayed.

I know the memo is "bash Novak" and that is your playbook as that plays to the mobs that form the majority of your readership. But if the media had any integrity, why are they not asking why the Aussie government kicked out a healthy Novak while they quietly let in an infected [Andrey] Rublev into the country? I am sorry, this is an inconvenient question, so please feel free to skip it and pander to your base.• There’s no memo. There’s no bashing. There’s no playbook. There’s no mob.

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