Opinion: The old era of Sino-U.S. relations is over — and there’s no going back
An American flag is flown next to the Chinese national emblem in November 2017. By Michael Auslin April 29 at 10:55 AM Michael Auslin is a fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University and the author of “The End of the Asian Century.”
It is surprising how quickly attitudes have soured on both sides of the Pacific. Just a few years ago, there was talk of a new Sino-U.S. “G-2” that would adjudicate global problems — a notion that already seems to belong to a long-distant past. Now competition is seen as the new normal. While Beijing feels that Washington is trying to contain China, Americans finally reacted to long-standing feelings that China was taking advantage of American openness and becoming actively hostile to U.S.
While trade and exchange have produced a complex web of ties between China and the United States, politically the two are steadily pulling apart. The 40th anniversary of normalization marked a crucial boundary, cementing a dynamic of suspicion and increased competition. Beijing continues to push its One Belt One Road Initiative, while ratcheting up both rhetoric and pressure against Taiwan and Hong Kong and imprisoning a million Uighurs in “reeducation camps.
Those predicting war between China and the United States are likely to be disappointed, just as were their predecessors who foresaw conflict between Japan and the United States in the 1990s. Yet neither does the future offer grounds for a continuation of business as usual. In reality, China is weakening. Its economy is slowing, its technology is coming under suspicion, and its offers of foreign aid awaken suspicions among potential recipients.
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