Op-Ed: Biden's choice of running mate matters, but not for the reasons you may think (via latimesopinion)
Presidential candidates typically say that their choice of a running mate comes down to one fundamental criterion: Is the person qualified to take over as president, if necessary?In private, presidential candidates often say that they also expect the running mate to help them win. Most often, they speculate about a potential home state advantage. Or that the running mate may deliver a key demographic group, such as women or people of color.
And that makes sense. After all, presidents are far more powerful than vice presidents once in office. Why choose a suboptimal president just to elect your preferred vice president? Sure enough, our analysis of survey data from the 1968-2016 American National Election Studies shows that presidential voting mostly comes down to how people feel about the person at the top of the ticket.
Our research shows running mates matter, above all else, by shaping how voters view the presidential candidate who selects them. Running mates indirectly influence voter choice by changing perceptions of the presidential candidate — which, in turn, changes votes.
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