Oil: Which Is More Likely First for US Crude

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Oil: Which Is More Likely First for US Crude
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Commodities Analysis by Investing.com (Barani Krishnan) covering: Brent Oil Futures, Crude Oil WTI Futures, ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil. Read Investing.com (Barani Krishnan)'s latest article on Investing.

Flip-flops in oil’s war risk driving traders crazy as the world awaits to see if Israel will make next move on Gaza to flush out Hamas

That was after a day when signs of a potential de-escalation saw traders dialing down bets that the conflict would draw in other Middle Eastern countries and disrupt oil supplies in the crude-rich region. Before we examine those — to determine the flag posts for the next rally or selloff — let’s list the bull case and bear case for oil and see how they stack up in tipping the market either way.An all-out ground offensive on Gaza by Israeli forces would likely provide the spark for $90 and above WTI pricing, especially if hostilities are sustained over an extended period and contagion develops from the war, ultimately impacting the Middle East’s oil traffic.

Within that, Saudi crude exports to the US are set to drop to 241,000 bpd in October, Kpler figures showed, down from 286,000 bpd in September and from 410,000 bpd in October 2022. That doesn’t look like it's going to end anytime soon with the US Commerce Department reporting on Thursday a forecast beating year-on-year Gross Domestic Product, orThe figure was well above the 4.3% growth consensus of Wall Street’s economic forecasters, although it was below the 5.4% predicted by the Atlanta Fed, a division of the Federal Reserve.The central bank has two more rate decisions for this year, on Nov. 1 and Dec.

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