A Wall Street stock chief explains why excitement around Trump’s trade 'deal' is misplaced — and warns a recession is still likely
But not everyone is buying this optimistic narrative. And they include Ron Temple, the head of US equity at Lazard Asset Management.up 500-plus points, Lazard believed investors were overlooking signs that the conflict is more intense than it appears on the surface. In fact, conflict of this nature is not new. The world's largest economies have combated each other for years, hurling allegations that range from intellectual property theft to clampdowns on foreign investment.
"A lot of investors are underestimating the difficulty and potential severity of that national security-related part of the relationship, and underestimating what it means when you go from just being economic competitors to basically strategic adversaries," Temple told Business Insider by phone. Nobel laureate Robert Shiller forewarned investors about the dot-com and housing bubbles. Now he tells us which irrational market behaviors have him most worried.
"My perspective has been — and will continue to be until proven wrong — that even if we do reach some kind of a deal, the question then is when the US accuses China of having cheated," Temple said.
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