There is good news and bad news in American foreign policy.
Ironically, the U.S. is now suffering from the aftereffects of the “unipolar moment” of the 1990s when America was the sole, uncontested world power after the Soviet Union’s collapse. Those heady days are now gone, as even top administration officials have conceded.
As Adolf Hitler’s Germany and Imperial Japan increased their defense spending, the Western democracies of France, Germany, and the U.S. cut theirs. As Herman chronicled, it took American ingenuity and government-backed incentives to unleash the country’s industrial might, providing the U.S. and its allies with the “arsenal of democracy” that proved key to victory. But history offers another warning, as well.
The U.S. was late to enter both world wars, giving its industrial powers time to gear up and prepare. And it was not initially the primary combatant. Suffice it to say: These are not advantages that the U.S. currently possesses.In the event of a Sino-American conflict over Taiwan, time is a luxury that the U.S. might not have. As one secretary of defense famously: “You go to war with the Army that you have, not the Army that you might want or wish to have at a later time.
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