Get BC Lions vs Toronto Argonauts prediction, picks, and odds for 6-9, plus CFL best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
Despite Chad Kelly's suspension, oddsmakers have overadjusted when it comes to Toronto's expected offensive output. Rohit Ponnaiya has you covered with his expert Week 1 handicap for Lions vs. Argonauts.Week 1 in the CFL wraps up on Sunday night with a clash between the BC Lions and Toronto Argonauts. The Argos are expected to struggle out of the gate with star quarterback Chad Kelly serving a nine-game suspension, but I believe oddsmakers have overreacted to that news.
This spread opened at Lions -6, and while it has ticked down to 5.5, the difference between the team totals is seven points. The Argos TT is set as low as 19.5, and the main reason for that number is due to the absence of reigning CFL Most Outstanding Player Chad Kelly. The star quarterback has been suspended for at least the first nine games of the season for sexual harassment, which leaves Cameron Dukes as Toronto's starting pivot.
Dukes doesn't have the pedigree of Kelly, but he did look sharp in limited playing time as a rookie last year. The 25-year-old made two starts in 2023, completing 17-of-24 passes for 231 yards against a tough Winnipeg defense on the road in Week 17, and torching Ottawa for 317 yards in the regular season finale.
Keep in mind that while the Leos had the best defense in the league for the first half of last season, they struggled down the stretch. BC surrendered 31.8 ppg in the final nine regular season games before allowing 54 points in two playoff contests. That stop unit could be even worse off this year, with reigning Most Outstanding Defensive Player Mathieu Betts now in the NFL and All-Star DB T.J. Lee on the IL.Despite the Boatmen losing 1,000-yard rusher A.J.
Alexander Hollins is one of the league's most explosive wideouts, but the Leos have a deep WR corps and quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. likes to spread the ball around. Hollins had fewer than 5.5 catches in 15 of 20 games last year and was limited to three receptions in the lone meeting against the Argos. The Argos were the most dominant team in the regular season last year, going 16-2 straight up and 13-5 against the spread before getting upset in the Eastern Final by the Alouettes.
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