After shock victories in 2018 and 2020, progressive challengers are having a harder time pulling off AOC-like upsets. RossBarkan writes on this year's 'course correction'
to defeating Henry Cuellar, perhaps the House’s most conservative Democrat, Turner backslid against Shontel Brown.
Why did these various movement candidates fail to break through? Simply put, it’s very hard to beat incumbents, and the 2018 and 2020 cycles are better understood as outliers,. Upsets are upsets for a reason — the candidate with more money, more name recognition, and more institutional support triumphs most of the time. And centrist incumbents, generally, have not been caught flat-footed in 2022.
New York, in 2022, has been a microcosm of the new national trend — or representative of a reversion to an
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