Kevin McCarthy’s Temporary Success Now Sets Up His Final Failure Later

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Kevin McCarthy’s Temporary Success Now Sets Up His Final Failure Later
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When House Republicans are forced to fold on a spending deal in the fall, it may be Kevin McCarthy who’s left holding the bag in the end.

After a week-long battle where conservatives brought the House floor to a standstill, Speaker Kevin McCarthy finally struck a deal with Freedom Caucus members on Tuesday to get the House moving again.

In the most straightforward explanation, it may be more evidence of conservatives putting their ideological purity over actual results. In the most Machiavellian account, McCarthy’s failure—and his potential removal—may actually be the true intent. But in this Freedom Caucus-designed version, Republicans go back on the deal with Biden, act like the spending levels they set in the debt limit deal were just limits that Congress couldn’t exceed but also didn’t have to meet, and then magically get those spending bills passed by the Democratic Senate and signed by the Democratic president.But that’s exactly what Freedom Caucus members are insisting upon—and it’s exactly what McCarthy has agreed to do. At least for now.

Predictably, Burchett isn’t sure what the Senate will do, or whether they’ll get behind lowering the caps. But Republicans like Burchett would very much like to believe they just reined in government spending, even though the most likely scenario is that the Senate just wins the spending standoff now.

“What we should be doing in the House,” Rep. Byron Donalds said, “is driving as hard a bargain as we possibly can, because this town has spent too much money over too many years and they’ve become addicted to it.” In that less positive, more skeptical world, the House could end up passing a continuing resolution—a stopgap measure that just continues government spending at current levels for a certain period of time. But that also would go against McCarthy’s commitment to pass all 12 spending bills on time.

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