Recent history led many political observers to leave Iowa off the list of most competitive states in the coming 2020 election. That decision may have been a mistake, at least according to a new Iowa poll. | Analysis by CillizzaCNN
In 2000, Al Gore edged George W. Bush there by just .3% -- roughly 4,000 votes out of more than 1.2 million cast. Four years later, Bush eked out a win over John Kerry in Iowa by just .6%.Barack Obama's ties to the state, which launched his presidential campaign with a win in the Iowa caucuses in 2008, moved the state in his direction -- as he carried it in both of his races. .
In each episode of his weekly YouTube show, Chris Cillizza will delve a little deeper into the surreal world of politics. Click to subscribe! But even as Obama was winning at the top of the ticket, Republicans were making gains down-ballot. Republican Terry Branstad won the governor's race in 2010 and held the office until he left to join the Trump administration in 2017. His lieutenant governor, Kim Reynolds, took over and won a full term in 2018 -- not a great year nationally for Republicans. And President Donald Trump won the state by nearly double digits in 2016.
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