Delays of vital economic data releases could trigger financial market volatility if a U.S government shutdown goes ahead this weekend and drags on for weeks, leaving investors to use alternative data sources to determine the economy's trajectory.
such as keenly-watched employment and inflation reports that can move equity and bond markets globally.
Hill said that investors would have to make assumptions based on survey and non-government economic data that is available. A shutdown may delay the Oct. 6 payroll report and other important releases, Roach added, which could cause the U.S. Federal Reserve to be "more patient and cautious as it assesses the economy."
"It will force market participants to rely more on private measures in the interim, and when data is released, it will not be as timely," said Vassallo. "So, strictly speaking you would expect the market reaction to be a bit more muted."
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