Here are 5 outcomes you can bank on if Donald Trump turns out to be a one-term commander in chief:
Share to twitterPresident Trump isn’t likely to be removed from office through the impeachment process. Even if every Democratic member of the chamber voted for removal in a Senate trial, 20 Republican senators would have to turn on Trump to expel him from office. That outcome looks exceedingly improbable today.
The more plausible scenarios for Trump’s departure would be either resignation or failure to win reelection. The president shows no sign of resigning, so next year’s election looms as the biggest opportunity for those who say the nation can’t stand another four years of Trump to seat a more congenial chief executive in the White House.earlier this year about why Trump has a good chance of getting reelected.
As Aaron Blake has explained in the Washington Post, no president since 1900 has managed to win a second term if the last two years of his initial term saw a recession. To put the facts starkly, every president since 1900 who has avoided a recession late in his first term has won a second term if he sought one. Every president who had a recession in the two years before he stood for reelection lost the White House....
That would likely change no matter which of the leading Democratic presidential candidates won the White House. Democrats have a much deeper bench of national security experts from which to draw senior political appointees than Trump has had, and they generally favor the global order that America led the way in fashioning during the postwar era. So U.S.
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