Today’s Trumpublican Party has negligible room for principled conservatism, writes QuinHillyer. That’s why Cheney’s only hope is to make use of the electoral system’s 'play in the joints' — flexibility that allows for an outsider candidate to thrive.
Cheney, the Republican who lost renomination Tuesday for her House seat in Wyoming, has no discernible path to the Republican presidential nomination unless the party’s grassroots voters massively turn not just away from, but also angrily against, Trump. Indeed, her presence in the GOP field would likely help Trump by taking political oxygen from, and splitting the non-Trump votes with, other contenders.
On the other hand, by organizing early to run a campaign outside the two major parties, Cheney could well succeed in blocking Trump from the White House — and she would have a chance, albeit a slim one, of winning it herself. At first glance, Cheney would have even larger hunting grounds among Biden voters, since 44% of his 81 million ballots were motivated more against Trump than for Biden. Yet while their admiration for her may be high, most of those voters would probably balk at her conservative philosophy. She would need to do some fancy footwork to convince the bulk of them to put considerations of character above those of the policy approach they favor.
All of which assumes, of course, that the political lay of the land doesn’t shift profoundly in the next two years.
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