The Carolina Hurricanes and Toronto Maple Leafs jump right back into action after the All-Star break with a Monday meeting in Toronto.
The Leafs are top-heavy, featuring some of the most high-end skill in the league. The Canes are balanced with depth throughout all 20 spots on the roster, which means they can often handle the league’s better teams. Over the past three seasons they’re 17-10 against teams with a winning percentage over 65 percent, good for a 19.7 percent ROI and 5.3 units.While I always like backing the Hurricanes, I’m targeting a total in this game for a few reasons.
It is also possible we see one or both backup goalies in this game, as both Carolina’s Frederik Andersen and Toronto’s Jack Campbell were in Vegas for the All-Star festivities, and the Canes play again on Tuesday. Overs are 15-14-1 over the past three seasons when both teams haven’t played in at least six days, so don’t be scared off by rust/long layoffs.
Some of the sharper sportsbooks in the world have the first period Over 1.5 goals at -150 or higher, but you could still find -135 as of Sunday night. With offenses this explosive, we’re seeing first period Overs around -160 or -170 closer to game time. I’ll take the -135, and also like the full game total Over 6.
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