How big a Social Security COLA can retirees expect in 2023?

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How big a Social Security COLA can retirees expect in 2023?
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Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for next year will likely be the largest since 1981.

The time has come to speculate about Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment for 2023. Automatic indexing of benefits to keep up with rising prices is a wonderful feature of our Social Security program.

The only option is to make some assumptions. As a starting point, Table 1 shows that the COLA for 2023 would be 8.9% if the CPI-W remained at its July level in August and September. At the other extreme, if the CPI-W rose by 0.6% in August and another 0.6% in September, the 2023 COLA would be 9.5%.

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