We hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the conclusion is clear: groundhog predictions are no better than chance
, was wrong on three of them, and predicted a late spring in a year when it arrived 38 days earlier than average. “Even if certain groundhogs can occasionally predict the onset of spring better than others,” the authors write, “there appears to be no clear prophet among the group evaluated here.”
, and his role was temporarily assumed by the museum’s resident hedgehog, Phoebe. The new Chuckles—Chuckles XI—will, says Buxton, be sworn in as Connecticut’s state official groundhog immediately prior to making his inaugural prediction this year.as Judge Leo Diana swears him into his official role,” she says. “He has a lot of predecessors before him and some big pawprints to fill, but he is very much up to the task of his prognosticating duties.
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