The top German soccer teams have been on fire in front of goal since lockdown. The reason is lockdown itself: Players had little to do but practice shooting.
Joshua Kimmich normally never tries his luck from such long range. Outside the penalty area, drifting away from goal, defenders closing in. To the Bayern Munich midfielder, it was the kind of shooting opportunity that barely registers as a shooting opportunity.
The Bundesliga’s goal probability metric agreed. In the biggest, weirdest game of Bayern’s season, inside Borussia Dortmund’s empty stadium, the analysis put his chances from 24 yards out at just 6%. But Kimmich didn’t know that—and the Bundesliga metrics had no idea...
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