FiveThirtyEight probability model rates chances of Newcastle beating Chelsea and finding success this season nufc
The super computer model predictions are based on the
revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.St James’ ParkTheir computer model gives Chelsea a 34% chance of a win, it is 25% for a draw and 41% possibility of a Newcastle win .
We can also see how the computer model rates the percentage probability chances of success for Newcastle United over the course of the season.As for relegation, the computer model now makesRegarding the relegation picture overall, the computer model hasmost likely to be relegated, with then Bournemouth a 59% shot, Wolves , Southampton , Everton , Leeds , Brentford , Leicester , Fulham , Villa , West Ham , Crystal Palace and Brighton .
At the top they rate Man City a 70% chance of retaining the title, with Arsenal 22%, Liverpool 2%, Tottenham 2%, Newcastle United 1%, Man U 1%.
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