Expert picks and best bets: UFC Fight Night and PFL

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Expert picks and best bets: UFC Fight Night and PFL
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Who has the edge at UFC Fight Night and the first event of the 2024 PFL Regular Season?

Chris Curtis, has only lost twice since debuting in the UFC in 2019. Curtis, unranked by ESPN, enters this fight on short notice afterto get his perspective on the UFC main event. ESPN's betting experts Reed Kuhn and Ian Parker add their insights and analysis on the main event and other intriguing bets they like on the UFC card. And Parker gives his best bets for"2024 PFL Regular Season: Heavyweights and Women's Flyweights.

Curtis will certainly have to defend takedowns, but how he responds after successfully defending them will also be critical. Curtis needs to sprawl well, and then completely disengage. Sometimes, after fighters defend a takedown, we see them try to body lock. Curtis can't do that here. He needs to get back to boxing range and look to engage with strikes at short distance. On Allen's failed attempts, Curtis should be positioned to unload his combinations.

Jackson is an older grappler who might have a chance for an upset. His stifling ground control accounts for over a quarter of all his Octagon time. So, an opponent with average takedown defense and ground control presents an opportunity for Jackson to play to his strength.Fighting on the feet will be risky for Jackson. He'll need to avoid the more technical and powerful striking of Hernandez long enough to close the distance.

Of the two experienced fighters in this bout, the much younger Morono remains competitive while McGee's career trajectory appears to be approaching retirement.

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