The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to fight for tops in their division while the San Diego Padres are clawing for a Wild Card bid. With both offenses heating up, our MLB picks expect this total to soar over for the third time in this series.
I'm taking my best bet and making it the staple of the same-game parlay. I'm also going to add Mookie Betts Over 1.5 bases. I spoke briefly about it above, but Betts' dominance against the curveball cannot be ignored. Furthermore, he has the second-highest isolated power against left-handed pitchers in the league. It certainly wouldn't shock me if Mookie could go yard tonight, but I like this value better. Betts has gone Over 1.
I'm finishing things off with an undervalued prop in Lynn Over strikeouts. It's the trickiest because Lynn could quickly get run from the game. However, if he can stay competitive, he should be able to exceed this number. For as many issues as Lynn has had this season, he still has been able to create an above-average whiff rate. He's getting a matchup against a team that strikes out at an average clip, with nearly nine per game.
There's the slightest of leans for Lance Lynn. He can still collect outs at a high clip when he can avoid the hard-hit ball. But given the amount of power in this Padres lineup, it seems like a given that we'll see a few leave the part. Then it comes down to how much damage is done and if this Dodgers lineup can back him, which they can always do.
You know where we stand on the total tonight. Each of these teams is in hotly contested races — one for the playoffs and the other for the division. Each will be dialed in from the plate against two pitchers who are mediocre at this stage in their careers. Four straight starts for Lynn have seen games go Over their total. On the other side, two of the last three have gone Over when Rich Hill takes the mound.
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