Jim Jordan is on the brink of winning the speakership—if he can just flip a few more votes. That he’s even this close is a testament to the House GOP’s far-right transformation.
On Friday, after 55 House Republicans said they would refuse to vote for Rep. Jim Jordan on the House floor, his path to the speakership looked impossible. But just a few days later, with a vote scheduled for Tuesday afternoon and opposition vanishing, his rule seemed inevitable.Jordan still had a handful of GOP votes to flip as of late Monday night.
One by one, GOP lawmakers—colloquially known as “moderates” or “institutionalists” or “establishment Republicans”—have recanted the unequivocal opposition to Jordan they expressed just days ago and thrown their support behind him. Rep. Ann Wagner , a close ally of Scalise, fumed over how Jordan seemed to knife the Louisiana Republican after Jordan lost the first closed-door speaker vote to Scalise last week. Wagner told reporters she would “absolutely not” vote for Jordan on the floor. On Monday morning, Wagnerthat if Jordan “has the votes, I’ll probably just vote for him,” saying “we have to get back to work.”
Jordan’s camp distanced themselves from the notion that their camp was pressuring holdouts, but every GOP lawmaker is crystal clear on the political risk of standing up in a roll call vote to block Jordan’s path from the speakership—likely a primary challenge back home. “Their political ecosystem is completely unforgiving and punitive, and there’s just no room to question it,” he said. “This is it. It’s the purification of the MAGA movement.”
Jordan’s ascendance now speaks not just to the dearth of willpower among moderates, but the particular ruthlessness of Jordan’s strategy and how ill-prepared his rivals have been to account for it. Instead of bowing out, however, Jordan worked his critics—and allowed his allies to jack up the pressure. That two-pronged strategy, along with the general fatigue in the GOP conference over the chaos and the ongoing paralysis of the House, seemed to rapixdly diminish the ranks of Jordan opponents. Notably, McCarthy expressed public confidence that Jordan would win—backing that Scalise, his longtime rival, never secured.
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