With new liberal court majorities in New York and Wisconsin, some Democrats think they have a decent shot at redrawing congressional maps in their favor.
“I’m a baseball fan. I’ve never been to a game in my life where only one team gets bats and balls and the other doesn’t,” said former Rep. Steve Israel , a one-time chair of House Democrats’ campaign arm.
Yet there are some doubts the map-overhauling strategy could translate to large gains in New York, where Democrats suffered surprise losses last year thatProtesters gather in front of the Supreme Court in June 2019. Democrats often employ high-minded rhetoric in gerrymandering cases, but they are keenly aware that even a small advantage could determine which party controls the House in 2025.
Last cycle, the commission declined its chance at a second map, turning it over to the legislature. DiFore then rejected lawmakers’ map, and the court appointed a special master to decide new congressional lines. Optimistic party strategists think Democrats could boost their chances of flipping six seats under a new map, in the lower Hudson Valley, upstate and on Long Island. More conservative Democrats predict a three-to-four seat gain is more likely.
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