Democrats’ concerns about Biden’s ability to win are expanding into states that long ago turned blue in presidential elections.
New Hampshire presents a unique set of circumstances for President Joe Biden. The Democrat has long had a complicated political relationship with the state, and unlike other swing states that trend blue in presidential elections, Republicans fully control the state’s government. | Scott Eisen/Getty ImagesHOOKSETT, New Hampshire — New Hampshire hasn’t voted to send a Republican to the White House since 2000. Maine hasn’t gone fully red since 1988.
But perhaps nowhere are these bluer-state blues on such stark display as in New Hampshire, which Trump came within half a percentage point of winning in 2016 — and where a. And on Tuesday, when the Cook Political Report shifted Electoral College ratings in six swing states toward Republicans, New Hampshire became one of two, along with Minnesota, reclassified as “lean” rather than “likely” Democratic in the presidential race.
Neil Levesque, the director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics, which houses the survey center, said the poll should serve as a warning for Biden. Trump has a poor track record in bluer swing states. He lost New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia and New Mexico in both 2016 and 2020. And while he picked up one electoral vote in Maine in each of the last two elections by winning the state’s 2nd Congressional District, he lost the state’s vote overall.
If Trump continues to act as he did in the debate — “being civil and staying on message” — and Biden “continues to perform as he performed in that debate and other public settings, yeah, Minnesota will be in play,” said Mike Erlandson, a former chair of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party. In front of the press at a highway service plaza and behind closed doors at private fundraisers for Democrats running for New Hampshire’s state Legislature, Newsom delivered impassioned defenses of the president and was steadfast that Biden would be the nominee.
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