Bama-LSU and Georgia-Ole Miss should bring some clarity to the SEC in another weekend of high-stakes games.
Lane Kiffin gets another chance at a signature win at Ole Miss when the Rebels take on No. 3 Georgia.
Last year's 52-17 loss to Georgia was particularly demoralizing. The Dawgs averaged 10.0 yards per play to the Rebels' 5.1. Georgia enjoyed nearly three times as many gains of 20-plus yards and forced twice as many gains or zero or worse. It was a statement game that Kiffin spent the offseason attempting to counter.
Alabama ... is kind of the opposite in every way. The Crimson Tide are pretty run-heavy on standard downs; they're reasonably efficient ; and they create more explosive plays than just about anyone: 10.2% of their plays gain at least 20 yards, third most in FBS.With 7 or more yards to go, Alabama's conversion rate this year is 13.2%, 131st nationally. This is an explosive and occasionally devastating offense, but on third-and-long, Alabama turns into Akron.has been pressured on 40.
On Nov. 17, 1984, unbeaten BYU visited Salt Lake City to face its Holy War rival, a .500ish Utah. Despite an early deficit and a minus-5 turnover margin, the Cougars slowly eased ahead, putting away a 24-14 win with a late Robbie Bosco-to-Kelly Smith touchdown pass.With a brilliant defense -- 11th in defensive SP+, seventh in points allowed per drive -- 4-4 Utah could absolutely throw a scare into its unbeaten rival this time around too.
Maryland's pass defense, meanwhile, is bad: The Terps are 116th in yards allowed per dropback. Gabriel will have another chance to post big stats for the No. 1 team in the country. That's usually a good way to score Heisman votes. Penn State, meanwhile, lost to Ohio State last week in part because the Nittany Lions turned three red zone trips into just 3 points. They have improved nicely on offense this year, ranking fifth in success rate and 10th in yards per play, but red zone execution cost them a shot at a big win.
I didn't love this week's selections -- we've got lots of highly ranked teams with particularly high win probabilities -- but SP+ still says there's only a 55% chance that Notre Dame , Miami , Penn State and Indiana all win this week. Let's score some upsets.Here are some more games you should pay attention to if you want to get the absolute most out of the weekend, from both information and entertainment perspectives.
This one lost some luster when both teams lost in Week 10, and we'll see about the availability and effectiveness of two Tech stars, QB; both were out last week and are currently listed as questionable. Still, the Hokies haven't beaten Clemson in 17 years and have beaten only one top-20 opponent in 14 years. Lane Stadium should still be rocking, at least for a while.Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech .
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